Snow covers the Charging Bull sculpture in the Financial District of Manhattan, New York, December 17, 2020.
Jeenah Moon | Reuters
U.S. stocks on Tuesday built on already-strong February gains after a market volatility gauge fell below a key threshold, paving the way for more buying from quant funds.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 120 points to an all-time high. The S&P 500 rose 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.5%, both hitting record highs.
Energy was the best-performing sector, rising 2.2% as a deep freeze in the South sparked a rally in oil prices and put West Texas Intermediate crude futures above $60 a barrel for the first time in over a year.
The Cboe Volatility Index, widely viewed as Wall Street’s best fear gauge, broke below 20 to settle at 19.97 on Friday, marking the first significant breach of the threshold since the pandemic-induced sell-off began in February 2020.
The crack of the 20 level is viewed by some on Wall Street as a big “risk on” signal, which could trigger buying from algorithmic traders and other big players. The gauge last traded up about one point to 21 on Tuesday morning.
“We believe a sustained move below 20 will be positive for risk markets,” said Tom Lee, FundStrat’s co-founder and head of research. “It will be a sign that the systemic fear that gripped markets in 2020 is finally fading.”
Lee, a CNBC contributor, added that receding fear in the market is usually followed by buying among systematic and quant funds. Should quantitative funds herald a retreating VIX as a positive sign, Lee believes that buying could extend the current rally.
The VIX last trade up more than 1 point back above 21.
Tuesday’s advance added to the market’s solid gains this month thanks to the rollout of the Covid-19 vaccine, economic reopening and expectations for more fiscal stimulus. The Dow has gained 5.3% in February, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq have rallied 6.3% and 8.3%, respectively. The S&P 500 has raked in ten record closes in 2021.
“The only reason to be bearish is … there is no reason to be bearish,” Bank of America chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett said in a note to clients on Tuesday.
Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey, one of the longest-running and widely followed investor polls, showed that the majority of investors finally agree the V-shaped recovery is at play in 2021.
On Tuesday, the 10-year Treasury yield topped 1.25% for the first time since March amid rising inflation expectations.
Elsewhere, bitcoin crossed $50,000 for the first time ever Tuesday, continuing its dizzying rally as more companies warmed to the crypto space.
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A market volatility gauge fell below a key threshold, paving the way for more buying from quant funds.