The Fed forecasts hiking rates as high as 4.6% before ending inflation fight

The Federal Reserve will raise interest rates to up to 4.6% in 2023 before the central bank stops its fight against soaring inflation, according to its median forecast released on Wednesday.

The central bank on Wednesday raised benchmark interest rates by another three-quarters of a percentage point to a range of 3%-3.25%, the highest since early 2008.

The so-called dot-plot, which the Fed uses to signal its outlook for the path of interest rates, showed six of the 19 “dots” would take rates even higher to a 4.75%-5% range next year.

Here are the Fed’s latest targets:

The series of big rate hikes are expected to slow down the economy. The Summary of Economic Projections from the Fed showed unemployment rate is estimated to rise to 4.4% by next year from its current 3.7%. Meanwhile, GDP growth is forecast to slump to just 0.2% for 2022.

With the aggressive tightening, headline inflation, measured by the Fed’s preferred personal consumption expenditures price index, is expected to decline to 5.4% this year. The gauge stood at 6.3% in August. Fed officials see inflation eventually fall back to the Fed’s 2% goal by 2025.

Every quarter, members of the committee forecast where interest rates will go in the short, medium and long term. The Summary of Economic Projections provides insight into where policymakers see various metrics. The SEP includes estimates for GDP, unemployment and inflation as gauged by the personal consumption expenditures price index.

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